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Hillary Can Fail?

The New Republic’s Jonathan Chait has written a rash of bad columns in recent memories – namely an incredibly stupid piece that championed putting Saddam right back in power – but his column today was an interesting piece about the shallowness of Democratic commitment to Clinton.

I can’t agree more – sentiment among voters for Clinton is high because no one in the general sample populace is paying enough attention. Obama has a commanding spotlight, but his name recognition is still relatively low. The Huffington Post pointed out that only 51% can even form an opinion on him.

Forget the election, the nominating conventions are almost a year and a half off. Clinton benefits greatly from her reputation as a juggernaut candidate, and the fact that she can projection momentum this early is a good sign. At the same time, her lead is overstated – support for Clinton is soft. That’s not to say she might not be the ultimate nominee. All I’m saying is that its going to be one hell of a fight.